Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000140 0.000156 0.000173 0.000192 0.000214 0.000237 0.000264
2025-10-12 0.000119 0.000141 0.000165 0.000195 0.000231 0.000271 0.000322
2025-10-19 0.000103 0.000128 0.000157 0.000196 0.000243 0.000301 0.000377
2025-10-26 0.000089 0.000116 0.000150 0.000195 0.000254 0.000329 0.000432
2025-11-02 0.000079 0.000107 0.000143 0.000194 0.000263 0.000355 0.000486
2025-11-09 0.000071 0.000099 0.000138 0.000194 0.000273 0.000382 0.000545
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000092 0.000132 0.000191 0.000279 0.000405 0.000598
2025-11-23 0.000058 0.000086 0.000127 0.000191 0.000288 0.000430 0.000657
2025-11-30 0.000053 0.000082 0.000124 0.000191 0.000297 0.000457 0.000722
2025-12-07 0.000048 0.000077 0.000119 0.000189 0.000302 0.000479 0.000778
2025-12-14 0.000045 0.000074 0.000118 0.000192 0.000315 0.000512 0.000856
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000071 0.000115 0.000193 0.000324 0.000541 0.000929
2025-12-28 0.000039 0.000067 0.000112 0.000192 0.000331 0.000567 0.001002
2026-01-04 0.000037 0.000065 0.000111 0.000196 0.000347 0.000608 0.001104
2026-01-11 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000196 0.000356 0.000640 0.001193
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000059 0.000107 0.000196 0.000364 0.000670 0.001280
2026-01-25 0.000030 0.000057 0.000104 0.000195 0.000370 0.000696 0.001364
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000054 0.000101 0.000195 0.000378 0.000728 0.001459
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000052 0.000098 0.000193 0.000382 0.000751 0.001540
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000050 0.000096 0.000192 0.000388 0.000780 0.001636
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000048 0.000094 0.000192 0.000397 0.000814 0.001746
2026-03-01 0.000022 0.000046 0.000092 0.000190 0.000401 0.000838 0.001835
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000045 0.000091 0.000193 0.000414 0.000883 0.001975